Independent risk rating for NEXO (nexo). Last updated 2026-03-12.
Is NEXO safe? ZARQ rates NEXO (nexo) Baa3 with a trust score of 52.5/100 and a 20% crash probability, based on 7 quantitative risk signals. Distance-to-Default: 3.2. Alert level: WATCH. 1 structural weakness signal active — elevated collapse risk. Vitality Score: 58/100 (Grade B), indicating crash resistance — backtested high-Vitality tokens lost 44% less during the 2025-2026 market crash (p < 0.001). Investors searching for NEXO safety information should note this rating is updated daily.
Vitality Score Breakdown
The ZARQ Vitality Score measures ecosystem health and crash resistance across 5 dimensions. NEXO scores 58/100 (Grade B), indicating crash resistance — backtested high-Vitality tokens lost 44% less during the 2025–2026 market crash (p < 0.001). Backtested ✓ Methodology
Ecosystem Gravity91
Multi-chain presence, protocol count, DeFi depth
Capital Commitment49
TVL stability, locked capital, market cap rank
Coordination Efficiency55
Audit coverage, category diversity, yield density
Stress Resilience62
Drawdown recovery, NDD stability, crash probability
Organic Momentum34
Rating trend, NDD trend, volume momentum
Data confidence: 100%
Pillar 1 — Ecosystem Strength
72.5
Market cap rank, volume stability, activity. Higher is safer.
Pillar 2 — Contagion Risk
53.3
BTC correlation, beta exposure, idiosyncratic risk. Lower correlation = more independent.
Pillar 3 — Historical Resilience
60.0
Max drawdown recovery, annualized volatility, tail risk ratio.
Pillar 4 — Fundamental Quality
42.5
Token age, price consistency, long-term trend strength.
Pillar 5 — Rug Pull Risk
31.7
Anomaly detection, extreme move frequency, dump pattern screening.
Distance-to-Default (NDD)
3.2
Structural distance from default threshold. Below 2.0 = elevated distress.
Structural Signal (Sig6)
4.7
Structural integrity score from the DtD model. Lower values indicate structural weakness.
NEXO carries moderate crash risk at 20%, typical for mid-cap crypto assets. Minor structural stress has been detected (1 signal). The Distance-to-Default stands at 3.2, with an alert level of WATCH. Rating: Baa3. This token scored in the top quintile for crash resistance based on backtested Vitality Score (58, Grade B).
Backtest resultsDisclaimer: This is quantitative risk analysis, not investment advice. Crypto assets are volatile and can lose value rapidly. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. ZARQ provides independent risk data — always do your own research before making investment decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEXO safe to invest in?
NEXO (nexo) currently holds a Baa3 rating from ZARQ with a trust score of 52.5/100. This is an investment-grade rating at the lower end, indicating moderate risk. The current crash probability is 20%, and its Distance-to-Default stands at 3.2. Minor structural concerns are noted. Over the past 90 days, NEXO has experienced a 14.2% maximum drawdown. The alert level is WATCH. As with all crypto investments, you should conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance.
What is NEXO's risk rating?
ZARQ rates NEXO at Baa3 on a Moody's-style scale (Aaa to C), where Baa3 and above is investment grade. The trust score is 52.5 out of 100, based on five quantitative pillars: ecosystem strength (72.5/100), contagion risk (53.3/100), historical resilience (60.0/100), fundamental quality (42.5/100), and rug pull risk (31.7/100). The strongest pillar is ecosystem strength, while rug pull risk scores lowest. The alert level is currently WATCH.
Will NEXO crash?
ZARQ's crash model estimates a 20% probability of a >50% drawdown for NEXO. The Distance-to-Default (NDD) is 3.2, which indicates healthy — comfortable distance from default. The structural integrity signal (Sig6) is 4.7, and there is 1 structural weakness signal active. Minor structural concerns are noted. These are model-based estimates updated daily, not guarantees of future performance.
Should I invest in NEXO?
NEXO holds a Baa3 rating from ZARQ. The crash probability is 20% and the Distance-to-Default is 3.2. These metrics suggest notable downside risk. However, ZARQ provides risk data, not investment advice. All crypto investments carry significant risk, including total loss of capital. Consider your risk tolerance, portfolio diversification, and investment horizon. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
NEXO price prediction — what does the risk data say?
ZARQ does not make price predictions for NEXO. Instead, we provide quantitative risk metrics: the crash probability is 20% (probability of a >50% drawdown), the Distance-to-Default is 3.2, and the alert level is WATCH. There are 1 structural weakness signals active. These risk signals are updated daily and can help inform — but not replace — your own analysis.
Is NEXO a scam?
ZARQ's analysis of NEXO shows a Baa3 rating. Minor structural stress detected (1 signal). ZARQ monitors NEXO daily across 7 quantitative risk signals including Distance-to-Default, crash probability, and structural integrity. While these signals can flag elevated risk, they cannot definitively determine if an asset is fraudulent. Always verify the project's team, code, and community independently.
What are the pros and cons of NEXO?
Based on ZARQ's quantitative analysis, NEXO (nexo) has the following strengths: Healthy distance from default (NDD: 3.2); Daily automated risk monitoring by ZARQ. Key risks include: Elevated crash probability (20%); 1 structural weakness signal active. These assessments are based on daily-updated risk models and should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.