Independent risk rating for Chiliz (chz). Last updated 2026-03-12.
Chiliz (chz) has a ZARQ Safety Rating of Ba2 (41.0/100) and a Vitality Score of D (38/100). Risk level: WARNING. Crash probability: 33%. Distance-to-Default: 2.5. ZARQ's structural analysis detected 2 weakness signals. Last updated: 2026-03-12. Based on 7 quantitative pillars including NDD, crash probability, TVL, and DeFi yield analysis. 2 structural weakness signals active — elevated collapse risk.
Vitality Score Breakdown
The ZARQ Vitality Score measures ecosystem health and crash resistance across 5 dimensions. Chiliz scores 38/100 (Grade D), indicating crash resistance — backtested high-Vitality tokens lost 44% less during the 2025–2026 market crash (p < 0.001). Backtested ✓ Methodology
Ecosystem Gravity50
Multi-chain presence, protocol count, DeFi depth
Capital Commitment13
TVL stability, locked capital, market cap rank
Coordination Efficiency40
Audit coverage, category diversity, yield density
Stress Resilience54
Drawdown recovery, NDD stability, crash probability
Organic Momentum28
Rating trend, NDD trend, volume momentum
Data confidence: 100%
Structural Stress Detected
Chiliz has 2 structural stress signals. This indicates emerging weakness that may worsen. Monitor closely.
Pillar 1 — Ecosystem Strength
50.0
Market cap rank, volume stability, activity. Higher is safer.
Pillar 2 — Contagion Risk
45.0
BTC correlation, beta exposure, idiosyncratic risk. Lower correlation = more independent.
Pillar 3 — Historical Resilience
40.0
Max drawdown recovery, annualized volatility, tail risk ratio.
Pillar 4 — Fundamental Quality
31.2
Token age, price consistency, long-term trend strength.
Pillar 5 — Rug Pull Risk
40.0
Anomaly detection, extreme move frequency, dump pattern screening.
Distance-to-Default (NDD)
2.5
Structural distance from default threshold. Below 2.0 = elevated distress.
Structural Signal (Sig6)
4.6
Structural integrity score from the DtD model. Lower values indicate structural weakness.
Strengths
✓Healthy distance from default (NDD: 2.5)
✓Daily automated risk monitoring by ZARQ
Risks
✗Elevated crash probability (33%)
✗2 structural weakness signals active
✗Active risk alert: WARNING
Chiliz has an elevated crash probability of 33%, warranting extra caution. Minor structural stress has been detected (2 signals). The Distance-to-Default stands at 2.5, with an alert level of WARNING. Rating: Ba2. Vitality Score: 38/100 (Grade D).
Backtest resultsDisclaimer: This is quantitative risk analysis, not investment advice. Crypto assets are volatile and can lose value rapidly. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. ZARQ provides independent risk data — always do your own research before making investment decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Chiliz safe to invest in?
Chiliz (chz) currently holds a Ba2 rating from ZARQ with a trust score of 41.0/100. This is a speculative-grade rating, indicating elevated risk. The current crash probability is 33%, and its Distance-to-Default stands at 2.5. Some structural stress signals are present. Over the past 90 days, Chiliz has experienced a 46.4% maximum drawdown. The alert level is WARNING. As with all crypto investments, you should conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance.
What is Chiliz's risk rating?
ZARQ rates Chiliz at Ba2 on a Moody's-style scale (Aaa to C), where Baa3 and above is investment grade. The trust score is 41.0 out of 100, based on five quantitative pillars: ecosystem strength (50.0/100), contagion risk (45.0/100), historical resilience (40.0/100), fundamental quality (31.2/100), and rug pull risk (40.0/100). The strongest pillar is ecosystem strength, while fundamental quality scores lowest. The alert level is currently WARNING.
Will Chiliz crash?
ZARQ's crash model estimates a 33% probability of a >50% drawdown for Chiliz. The Distance-to-Default (NDD) is 2.5, which indicates moderate — some structural pressure. The structural integrity signal (Sig6) is 4.6, and there are 2 structural weakness signals active. Some structural stress signals are present. These are model-based estimates updated daily, not guarantees of future performance.
Should I invest in Chiliz?
Chiliz holds a Ba2 rating from ZARQ. The crash probability is 33% and the Distance-to-Default is 2.5. These metrics suggest notable downside risk. However, ZARQ provides risk data, not investment advice. All crypto investments carry significant risk, including total loss of capital. Consider your risk tolerance, portfolio diversification, and investment horizon. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
Chiliz price prediction — what does the risk data say?
ZARQ does not make price predictions for Chiliz. Instead, we provide quantitative risk metrics: the crash probability is 33% (probability of a >50% drawdown), the Distance-to-Default is 2.5, and the alert level is WARNING. There are 2 structural weakness signals active. These risk signals are updated daily and can help inform — but not replace — your own analysis.
Is Chiliz a scam?
ZARQ's analysis of Chiliz shows a Ba2 rating. Minor structural stress detected (2 signals). ZARQ monitors Chiliz daily across 7 quantitative risk signals including Distance-to-Default, crash probability, and structural integrity. While these signals can flag elevated risk, they cannot definitively determine if an asset is fraudulent. Always verify the project's team, code, and community independently.
What are the pros and cons of Chiliz?
Based on ZARQ's quantitative analysis, Chiliz (chz) has the following strengths: Healthy distance from default (NDD: 2.5); Daily automated risk monitoring by ZARQ. Key risks include: Elevated crash probability (33%); 2 structural weakness signals active; Active risk alert: WARNING. These assessments are based on daily-updated risk models and should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.