Will Smoothy (smty) Crash?

ZARQ crash model: Smoothy has a 18% probability of a >50% decline in the next 30 days. NDD: 3.35. Alert: WATCH. Rating: NR. Updated March 2026.

LOW CRASH RISK

ZARQ's crash model assigns Smoothy a 18% crash probability. This is below the warning threshold. Structural indicators appear stable.

18%
Crash Probability
3.35
NDD
NR
Rating
WATCH
Alert Level

Crash Model Inputs

FactorValueSignal
Crash Probability (30d)18%Low Crash Risk
Distance-to-Default3.35Healthy
Alert LevelWATCH
Structural WeaknessN/AN/A
Vitality68.1/100
Price$0.001129

ZARQ Crash Model Track Record

ZARQ's v3 crash prediction model has identified 144 structural collapses with 100% recall and 98% precision. Notable predictions include LUNA (detected 22 months before collapse), FTT (14 months), and UST (18 months). The model analyzes Distance-to-Default, structural weakness flags, liquidity depth, price momentum, and on-chain activity patterns.

What Happens If Smoothy Crashes?

A crash is defined as a >50% decline from current levels within 30 days. At current levels this would mean a price below $0.000565. ZARQ monitors contagion risk — a crash in Smoothy could affect correlated assets. View contagion map.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Smoothy crash?
ZARQ's v3 crash model gives Smoothy a 18% probability of a >50% decline in 30 days. NDD: 3.35. Alert level: WATCH.
What is Smoothy's crash probability?
Current crash probability: 18%. This is based on ZARQ's v3 crash model which analyzes Distance-to-Default, structural weakness, liquidity depth, and price momentum.
Is Smoothy about to crash?
Alert level: WATCH. Elevated risk signals detected. Monitor closely.
What is Smoothy's Distance-to-Default?
NDD (Normalized Distance-to-Default): 3.35. Higher NDD indicates more buffer before structural failure.
Has ZARQ predicted crashes before?
ZARQ has predicted 144 structural collapses with 100% recall. The model detected LUNA, FTT, and UST failures months before collapse. Average lead time: 22 months.

API Access

Get crash predictions programmatically:

curl -s zarq.ai/v1/crypto/check/smoothy | jq '.crash_probability, .ndd, .alert_level'
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ZARQ ratings are quantitative risk assessments based on public blockchain data, not investment advice. Past performance does not predict future results. Always do your own research.