Contagion Map

When one token crashes, which others follow? This map shows how 198 tokens are connected through shared ecosystems, bridges, and price correlations — and where risk will spread in a crisis.

How to read the graph

Each circle is a token. Bigger = higher market cap. Color = ecosystem (Ethereum blue, Solana purple, BNB yellow). Lines connect tokens that move together or share infrastructure.

What to look for

Tightly clustered tokens share risk — when one falls, the cluster follows. Isolated tokens (far from center) are more independent. Use Stress Mode to highlight tokens currently showing distress signals.

Try this

Click Ethereum to see just the ETH ecosystem. Toggle Stress Mode to see which tokens are vulnerable right now. Hover any token for its contagion score. Run a scenario below to simulate a crisis.

3.4pp

MEDIAN ERROR

Half of all scenario predictions land within 3.4 percentage points of the actual crash magnitude.

82%

WITHIN 10pp

55 of 67 predictions within 10pp. SOL during FTX: predicted -67.6%, actual -67.9%.

CRISES VALIDATED

FTX, LUNA, 3AC, Oct 2025 flash crash, BTC bear. Different mechanisms, same calibrated model.

96%

WITHIN 15pp

64 of 67 predictions within 15pp. Uses same engine as the Risk Scanner.

Ethereum

Solana

BNB

Bitcoin

Stablecoin

Other

Node size = market cap · Color = ecosystem · Edges = dependencies & correlations

Stress Scenarios

Click a scenario to simulate a crisis. See which tokens get hit hardest and how losses cascade through the network.

Historical Contagion

How did past crises actually spread? Step-by-step contagion chains from real events.