Is dYdX Safe? — Trust Score: Baa2

Independent risk rating for dYdX (dydx). Last updated 2026-07-01.

dYdX (dydx) has a ZARQ Safety Rating of Baa2 (59.6/100) and a Vitality Score of D (38/100). Risk level: WATCH. Crash probability: 12%. Distance-to-Default: 3.1. Last updated: 2026-07-01. Based on 7 quantitative pillars including NDD, crash probability, TVL, and DeFi yield analysis. No structural weaknesses detected.
Rating Baa2
Score 59.6/100
Crash Prob 12%
Alert WATCH
59.6
Trust Score
Composite score 0-100 across 5 pillars
3.1
Distance-to-Default
Healthy — comfortable distance from default
12%
Crash Probability
Model-estimated likelihood of >50% drawdown
$0.1236
Price (USD)
+16.8% (24h)
38
Vitality Score
Grade D — ecosystem health

This token scores 59.6/100. What's yours?

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Vitality Score Breakdown

The ZARQ Vitality Score measures ecosystem health and crash resistance across 5 dimensions. dYdX scores 38/100 (Grade D), indicating crash resistance — backtested high-Vitality tokens lost 44% less during the 2025–2026 market crash (p < 0.001). Backtested ✓ Methodology

Ecosystem Gravity30
Multi-chain presence, protocol count, DeFi depth
Capital Commitment21
TVL stability, locked capital, market cap rank
Coordination Efficiency40
Audit coverage, category diversity, yield density
Stress Resilience37
Drawdown recovery, NDD stability, crash probability
Organic Momentum65
Rating trend, NDD trend, volume momentum
Data confidence: 100%
MiCA Classification
[CA] Utility Token / Crypto-Asset
Under EU MiCA regulation (2023/1114). Learn more

Risk Signal Breakdown

Pillar 1 — Ecosystem Strength
83.8
Market cap rank, volume stability, activity. Higher is safer.
Pillar 2 — Contagion Risk
58.3
BTC correlation, beta exposure, idiosyncratic risk. Lower correlation = more independent.
Pillar 3 — Historical Resilience
50.0
Max drawdown recovery, annualized volatility, tail risk ratio.
Pillar 4 — Fundamental Quality
68.8
Token age, price consistency, long-term trend strength.
Pillar 5 — Rug Pull Risk
41.7
Anomaly detection, extreme move frequency, dump pattern screening.
Distance-to-Default (NDD)
3.1
Structural distance from default threshold. Below 2.0 = elevated distress.
Structural Signal (Sig6)
N/A
Structural integrity score from the DtD model. Lower values indicate structural weakness.

Compare Similar Tokens (Baa2 Rated)

Pros & Cons of dYdX

Strengths
Moderate crash probability (12%)
Healthy distance from default (NDD: 3.1)
No structural collapse signals detected
Risks
Crypto assets carry inherent volatility risk

Investment Risk Summary

dYdX carries moderate crash risk at 12%, typical for mid-cap crypto assets. No structural weaknesses have been detected. The Distance-to-Default stands at 3.1, with an alert level of WATCH. Rating: Baa2. Vitality Score: 38/100 (Grade D). Backtest results
Disclaimer: This is quantitative risk analysis, not investment advice. Crypto assets are volatile and can lose value rapidly. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. ZARQ provides independent risk data — always do your own research before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is dYdX safe to invest in?
dYdX (dydx) currently holds a Baa2 rating from ZARQ with a trust score of 59.6/100. This is an investment-grade rating at the lower end, indicating moderate risk. The current crash probability is 12%, and its Distance-to-Default stands at 3.1. No structural weaknesses detected. The alert level is WATCH. As with all crypto investments, you should conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance.
What is dYdX's risk rating?
ZARQ rates dYdX at Baa2 on a Moody's-style scale (Aaa to C), where Baa3 and above is investment grade. The trust score is 59.6 out of 100, based on five quantitative pillars: ecosystem strength (83.8/100), contagion risk (58.3/100), historical resilience (50.0/100), fundamental quality (68.8/100), and rug pull risk (41.7/100). The strongest pillar is ecosystem strength, while rug pull risk scores lowest. The alert level is currently WATCH.
Will dYdX crash?
ZARQ's crash model estimates a 12% probability of a >50% drawdown for dYdX. The Distance-to-Default (NDD) is 3.1, which indicates healthy — comfortable distance from default. The structural integrity signal (Sig6) is N/A, and there are 0 structural weakness signals active. No structural weaknesses detected. These are model-based estimates updated daily, not guarantees of future performance.
Should I invest in dYdX?
dYdX holds a Baa2 rating from ZARQ. The crash probability is 12% and the Distance-to-Default is 3.1. These metrics suggest relatively contained downside risk. However, ZARQ provides risk data, not investment advice. All crypto investments carry significant risk, including total loss of capital. Consider your risk tolerance, portfolio diversification, and investment horizon. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
dYdX price prediction — what does the risk data say?
ZARQ does not make price predictions for dYdX. Instead, we provide quantitative risk metrics: the crash probability is 12% (probability of a >50% drawdown), the Distance-to-Default is 3.1, and the alert level is WATCH. No structural weakness signals are active. These risk signals are updated daily and can help inform — but not replace — your own analysis.
Is dYdX a scam?
ZARQ's analysis of dYdX shows a Baa2 rating. No structural collapse signals detected. ZARQ monitors dYdX daily across 7 quantitative risk signals including Distance-to-Default, crash probability, and structural integrity. While these signals can flag elevated risk, they cannot definitively determine if an asset is fraudulent. Always verify the project's team, code, and community independently.
What are the pros and cons of dYdX?
Based on ZARQ's quantitative analysis, dYdX (dydx) has the following strengths: Moderate crash probability (12%); Healthy distance from default (NDD: 3.1); No structural collapse signals detected. Key risks include: Crypto assets carry inherent volatility risk. These assessments are based on daily-updated risk models and should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.

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Disclaimer: ZARQ ratings are quantitative risk assessments, not investment advice. Past performance does not predict future results. Always do your own research.