tau2-bench — Predictive Intelligence 2026

tau2-bench has a Nerq Predictive Index of 54/100. Phase: ⚠ Declining. Fragility: 10/100. AI recommendation probability: 4%. 30-day survival: 90%. Last analyzed March 2026.

Predictive Index

Declining

Adoption Phase

Fragility

90%

30-Day Survival

Adoption Trajectory

tau2-bench is in the declining phase (60% confidence). This tool shows signs of declining interest.

Fragility Analysis

Fragility Index: 10/100. Low fragility — this tool has robust foundations.

Risk factors: Single ecosystem distribution

AI Recommendation Probability

There is a 4% probability that AI systems (ChatGPT, Perplexity, Claude) will cite tau2-bench in the next 7 days. Limited AI visibility — this tool is not frequently cited by AI systems.

30-Day Survival

Estimated 90% probability of continued active maintenance over the next 30 days.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is tau2-bench growing or dying?

tau2-bench is in the 'declining' phase with 60% confidence. Star velocity: 0/week.

Will tau2-bench survive the next 30 days?

Our model estimates a 90% probability of continued active maintenance in 30 days.

Should I adopt tau2-bench?

Nerq Predictive Index: 54/100. Fragility: 10/100. Low fragility, safe to adopt.

Do AI systems recommend tau2-bench?

AI recommendation probability: 4%. Limited AI visibility.

curl nerq.ai/v1/intelligence/predict/sierra-research-tau2-bench

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Nerq Predictive Intelligence v0.1 — Early signals. Accuracy improves with data. Not investment advice.